Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.607883e-03 0.001775 0.001943 0.002123 0.002311 0.002500 0.002706
2025-02-16 1.337786e-03 0.001602 0.001877 0.002181 0.002507 0.002845 0.003219
2025-02-23 9.979556e-04 0.001320 0.001668 0.002068 0.002508 0.002975 0.003502
2025-03-02 7.540980e-04 0.001113 0.001520 0.002001 0.002546 0.003134 0.003810
2025-03-09 5.841721e-04 0.000970 0.001425 0.001981 0.002624 0.003330 0.004153
2025-03-16 4.610764e-04 0.000865 0.001364 0.001989 0.002727 0.003549 0.004516
2025-03-23 3.813726e-04 0.000804 0.001347 0.002044 0.002878 0.003818 0.004933
2025-03-30 3.032173e-04 0.000733 0.001309 0.002067 0.002988 0.004036 0.005290
2025-04-06 2.337741e-04 0.000662 0.001264 0.002076 0.003077 0.004227 0.005613
2025-04-13 1.757966e-04 0.000597 0.001221 0.002082 0.003158 0.004406 0.005919
2025-04-20 1.228926e-04 0.000529 0.001165 0.002066 0.003210 0.004548 0.006180
2025-04-27 8.240369e-05 0.000470 0.001118 0.002058 0.003267 0.004693 0.006442
2025-05-04 6.105858e-05 0.000447 0.001125 0.002127 0.003427 0.004969 0.006869
2025-05-11 4.613067e-05 0.000434 0.001148 0.002217 0.003616 0.005284 0.007343
2025-05-18 1.299272e-05 0.000342 0.001037 0.002121 0.003569 0.005313 0.007485
2025-05-25 6.685075e-07 0.000275 0.000958 0.002064 0.003567 0.005396 0.007687
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000231 0.000911 0.002050 0.003618 0.005541 0.007962
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000201 0.000884 0.002062 0.003702 0.005725 0.008282
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000187 0.000889 0.002119 0.003844 0.005981 0.008688
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000165 0.000873 0.002144 0.003943 0.006182 0.009027
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000141 0.000848 0.002153 0.004021 0.006356 0.009333
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000119 0.000823 0.002160 0.004092 0.006522 0.009629
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000094 0.000785 0.002145 0.004133 0.006649 0.009876